That would be a lot for a particular team as there is so much movement over the years but my guess/observation is that its closer to 50% until contact…then there is a temporary shift but 80% of the kids that move up to AAA, move back down to AA, A after 2 years once everyone hits puberty.
2016 AAA
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Guest
Re: 2016 AAA
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Guest
Re: 2016 AAA
WowGuest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:30 pmThat would be a lot for a particular team as there is so much movement over the years but my guess/observation is that its closer to 50% until contact…then there is a temporary shift but 80% of the kids that move up to AAA, move back down to AA, A after 2 years once everyone hits puberty.
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Guest
Re: 2016 AAA
In general youth sports research (not specific to GTHL), retention rates in elite programs from age 9-10 to 15-16 often fall to 20-40%, depending on the sport and region. Hockey, with its high costs and physical demands, likely trends toward the lower end. Anecdotally, in the GTHL, the U16 AAA level is seen as a pinnacle for many, with only the most dedicated and skilled players remaining—often those eyeing junior or NCAA paths.Guest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:33 pmWowGuest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:30 pmThat would be a lot for a particular team as there is so much movement over the years but my guess/observation is that its closer to 50% until contact…then there is a temporary shift but 80% of the kids that move up to AAA, move back down to AA, A after 2 years once everyone hits puberty.
Given these dynamics, a reasonable estimate might be that 25-35% of GTHL AAA U10 players continue playing AAA through U16. This accounts for natural attrition, competitive pressure, and the GTHL’s unique intensity. Without exact data, this is an educated guess grounded in broader trends and the league’s structure. For a precise figure, one would need access to GTHL registration records tracking individual players over those six years—data that isn’t publicly released.
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Guest
Re: 2016 AAA
This is a very informative post. Thank you. Please post more.Guest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 8:12 pmIn general youth sports research (not specific to GTHL), retention rates in elite programs from age 9-10 to 15-16 often fall to 20-40%, depending on the sport and region. Hockey, with its high costs and physical demands, likely trends toward the lower end. Anecdotally, in the GTHL, the U16 AAA level is seen as a pinnacle for many, with only the most dedicated and skilled players remaining—often those eyeing junior or NCAA paths.Guest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:33 pmWowGuest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:30 pmThat would be a lot for a particular team as there is so much movement over the years but my guess/observation is that its closer to 50% until contact…then there is a temporary shift but 80% of the kids that move up to AAA, move back down to AA, A after 2 years once everyone hits puberty.
Given these dynamics, a reasonable estimate might be that 25-35% of GTHL AAA U10 players continue playing AAA through U16. This accounts for natural attrition, competitive pressure, and the GTHL’s unique intensity. Without exact data, this is an educated guess grounded in broader trends and the league’s structure. For a precise figure, one would need access to GTHL registration records tracking individual players over those six years—data that isn’t publicly released.
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Guest
Re: 2016 AAA
Yes, I like this. Enough attacking people. Be kind.Guest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 8:19 pmThis is a very informative post. Thank you. Please post more.Guest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 8:12 pmIn general youth sports research (not specific to GTHL), retention rates in elite programs from age 9-10 to 15-16 often fall to 20-40%, depending on the sport and region. Hockey, with its high costs and physical demands, likely trends toward the lower end. Anecdotally, in the GTHL, the U16 AAA level is seen as a pinnacle for many, with only the most dedicated and skilled players remaining—often those eyeing junior or NCAA paths.Guest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:33 pmWowGuest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:30 pmThat would be a lot for a particular team as there is so much movement over the years but my guess/observation is that its closer to 50% until contact…then there is a temporary shift but 80% of the kids that move up to AAA, move back down to AA, A after 2 years once everyone hits puberty.
Given these dynamics, a reasonable estimate might be that 25-35% of GTHL AAA U10 players continue playing AAA through U16. This accounts for natural attrition, competitive pressure, and the GTHL’s unique intensity. Without exact data, this is an educated guess grounded in broader trends and the league’s structure. For a precise figure, one would need access to GTHL registration records tracking individual players over those six years—data that isn’t publicly released.
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Guest
Re: 2016 AAA
Ya probably but can still be good information, the 35-40% of kids from U10 still playing AAA at U16 feels right…helps reinforce not taking all of this too seriouslyGuest wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 8:39 pmToo smart, must be GPT
Re: 2016 AAA
Interesting in terms of the fact that this poor new coach is trying hard to start a new team this late and gets a bunch of AA kids slowing up!!! There were only 2 players on the ice that actually are AAA quality. Both of which were NOT from a kelvr team interesting enough. One was player and one was a kick ass goalie. The rest of them should go and accept the AA offers they probably have and let the coach run a proper AAA team.
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Guest
Re: 2016 AAA
Okay scout. You don't wanna start this convo. Former coach got forced out despite him trying to save face. Core of his single A team that paid to be there by Asian man scrambled to OMHA after the hammer fell. I am assuming you're one of those single A parents that is butt hurt.
I don't know about the new process but good for them running a true process because they would have been in trouble with the other guy who loved pay-to-play.
I don't know about the new process but good for them running a true process because they would have been in trouble with the other guy who loved pay-to-play.
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